Some evidence of a Palin anti-bounce emerged in the polling yesterday as Barack Obama's lead jumped to 2.6 percentage points, according to my model. I'm calling it an anti-Palin bounce because the Demo's post-convention bounced seems to have been completely cut off, meaning that the public are now responding to event surrounding the Republican convention including the news that Palin's 17-year old daughter decided, apparently on her own, to make grey-less haired Mom a grannie. Such qualifies as a distraction.
There was no change in the estimated electoral vote with Obama continuing to lead by a 304-243 margin. Although the electoral vote did not change, there was a significant movement towards Obama in all of the toss-up states currently on our list especially in Colorado where Obama opened up a modest lead: