Monday, September 29, 2008

Too Much Red Meat

John McCain spent too much time throwing red meat to the red state folks at the first presidential debate the other night and too little time trying to impress the undecided independent voters that will decide the election. Unfortunately for him, Barach Obama's lead heading into the debate was growing as we can see from the chart below:

Obama's share of the vote appears to have increased by 0.6 percentage points between Thursday and Friday last week and now stands at 2.2 percentage points. His lead in the Electoral College remains at 317 to 221. However, his leads in the close states have grown and McCain's margins in Florida and Nevada continue to thin:

The polls coming in during the upcoming 24 hours will give the first concrete impression of the first debate's effect. Obama should have something to smile about.

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