Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Demo Convention Day One . . .

. . . . and no significant change yet in the numbers. The Rasmussen moving average tracking poll has shown a slight shift towards Obama the last two days (one percentage point a day) while the Gallup tracking poll has shown no movement whatsoever. The conclusion is that there is no clear budging from the 50%-50% point we have been stuck in for most of the past week. My model shows Obama with a 13,000 vote lead nationally out of an estimated 125 million voters right now. The coverage from the convention seems to be painting a positive picture of the goings on and the Clinton's appear to be cooperative at Obama's big party. Now we'll see if the numbers begin to move, as they really should.

Sitting here waiting for things to get unstuck . . .

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