Sunday, October 12, 2008

Florida Flips

[Note that the electoral vote piechart below corrects the original piechart published yesterday. My apologies for the error.]

My model suggests that Florida has finally flipped into the Barack Obama camp. If 200 votes in the Electoral College is a respectable showing for a defeated presidential candidate, the loss of Florida's 27 electoral votes means that John McCain has moved from the respectable loss category into the definitive loss category:

The new electoral map is as follows:

As the table below shows, Colorado and Virginia are about to move out of the swing state category should there be any further movement towards Obama:

For those curious about such things, the national popular vote moved another 0.1 percentage points in Obama's direction:

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