The presidential race has entered the fourth quarter and Barack Obama is slowly pulling away from John McCain. Day after day Obama scores baskets on McCain by simply doing nothing and letting the financial meltdown melt down Republican resistance to his becoming president. We are near the point where Obama will simply begin to hold on to the ball, avoid mistakes and try to run out the clock.
At that point, of course, the race will begin to tighten again and Obama's overly cautious nature will become a liability. But that seems far off in the future and this is the picture of the election right now:
The lead has ticked up to 3.6 percentage points. While the lead seems small, it translates into a significant 317-221 lead in the Electoral College, a margin that has not changed for a few days. The table of current conditions in the swing states shows, for the most part, continued movement towards Obama over the past 24 hours: